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HHT: 00CSV

14 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Mallorca
30.0%
Draw
23.2%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Mallorca

vs
0.75

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS36.6%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.2%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).