Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Pisa
24.1%
Draw
15.0%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Pisa
vs
0.83
Benevento
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).