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10 May 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.7%
Reims
24.6%
Draw
30.7%
Saint-Étienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Reims

vs
1.15

Saint-Étienne

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).