Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.3%
Ajaccio
10.7%
Draw
84.0%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Ajaccio
vs
2.84
Marseille
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.3%
0-3
12.5%
0-1
9.6%
0-4
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
1-4
5.1%
1-1
5.1%
0-5
5.0%
0-0
3.0%
1-5
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).