Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Leeds
20.2%
Draw
10.9%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Leeds
vs
0.73
Norwich
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
11.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).