Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Exeter
25.9%
Draw
38.5%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Exeter
vs
1.28
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).