Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Spal
25.3%
Draw
24.4%
Pescara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Spal
vs
1.20
Pescara
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).