Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Barnet
27.5%
Draw
19.8%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Barnet
vs
0.86
Southend
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).