Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Famalicao
19.8%
Draw
11.3%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Famalicao
vs
0.60
Boavista
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-0
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).