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24 Sept 2019 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.6%
Crotone
30.4%
Draw
30.0%
Juve Stabia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Crotone

vs
1.08

Juve Stabia

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).