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05 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.7%
King’s Lynn
29.2%
Draw
32.0%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

King’s Lynn

vs
1.17

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).