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14 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Queen of Sth
26.3%
Draw
35.9%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Queen of Sth

vs
1.43

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS59.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).