Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Fleetwood Town
25.8%
Draw
31.1%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.04
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).