Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Marseille
18.9%
Draw
27.9%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Marseille
vs
1.67
Rennes
Markets
BTTS72.9%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.576.2%
Over 3.556.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
1-1
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).