Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Valladolid
28.5%
Draw
35.9%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Valladolid
vs
1.13
Leganes
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).