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AHT: 01

31 Jan 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Eldense
27.2%
Draw
44.8%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Eldense

vs
1.35

Granada

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).