Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Mansfield
24.0%
Draw
34.5%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Mansfield
vs
1.24
Reading
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).