Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.5%
Southampton
26.9%
Draw
58.6%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Southampton
vs
1.69
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).