Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Modena
30.5%
Draw
20.5%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Modena
vs
0.79
Livorno
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).