Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Brentford
27.3%
Draw
21.4%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Brentford
vs
1.03
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).