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02 Nov 2024 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.8%
Raków Częstochowa
21.6%
Draw
13.6%
Stal Mielec

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.86

Stal Mielec

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).