Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Granada
26.7%
Draw
22.8%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Granada
vs
0.86
Numancia
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).