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05 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.4%
Waasland-Beveren
21.9%
Draw
58.7%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Waasland-Beveren

vs
2.08

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
1-0
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
1-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).