⚽ FootballData
2 – 2
DHT: 10

28 Apr 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
65.6%
Zagłębie Lubin
20.6%
Draw
13.9%
Stal Mielec

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Zagłębie Lubin

vs
0.93

Stal Mielec

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).