Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.1%
Pacos Ferreira
10.5%
Draw
85.4%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Pacos Ferreira
vs
2.74
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.6%
0-3
14.2%
0-1
11.6%
0-4
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
0-5
5.3%
1-1
4.8%
1-4
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
1-5
2.4%
1-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).