Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Reading
29.4%
Draw
42.7%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Reading
vs
1.35
Watford
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).