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13 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.4%
Norwich
24.8%
Draw
61.8%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Norwich

vs
1.86

West Ham

Markets

BTTS46.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.5%
0-1
12.0%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).