Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Nice
17.0%
Draw
14.8%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Nice
vs
1.00
Troyes
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).