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DHT: 11CSV

28 Sept 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Macclesfield
29.9%
Draw
36.6%
Colchester

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Macclesfield

vs
1.02

Colchester

Markets

BTTS38.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.7%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).