Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Montpellier
23.1%
Draw
30.3%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Montpellier
vs
1.20
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).