Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Ceuta
25.0%
Draw
36.8%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Ceuta
vs
1.39
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).