Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Karpaty
29.5%
Draw
51.2%
LNZ Cherkasy
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Karpaty
vs
1.31
LNZ Cherkasy
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).