Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Portimonense
26.8%
Draw
34.6%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Portimonense
vs
1.14
Farense
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).