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AHT: 10CSV

24 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.5%
Oxford
19.2%
Draw
21.3%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Oxford

vs
1.16

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.6%
4-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).