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11 Apr 2026 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.8%
Virtus Entella
24.0%
Draw
62.3%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Virtus Entella

vs
1.85

Venezia

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.5%
0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).