Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.6%
Metz
11.6%
Draw
7.8%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
Metz
vs
0.78
Niort
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
4-0
7.4%
4-1
5.7%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).