⚽ FootballData
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AHT: 13CSV

31 Dec 2016

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Stenhousemuir
31.7%
Draw
30.5%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Stenhousemuir

vs
0.97

Alloa

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).