Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Reading
27.7%
Draw
51.2%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Reading
vs
1.54
Millwall
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.4%
0-2
10.3%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).