Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Osasuna
33.0%
Draw
23.3%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Osasuna
vs
0.71
Getafe
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
17.1%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).