Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Man United
28.3%
Draw
33.3%
Mossley AFC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Man United
vs
1.05
Mossley AFC
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).