Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Harrogate
29.1%
Draw
36.1%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Harrogate
vs
1.05
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.0%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
0-3
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).