Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Mirandes
24.9%
Draw
34.3%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Mirandes
vs
1.34
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).