Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
St Pauli
23.6%
Draw
63.6%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
St Pauli
vs
1.82
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
0-4
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).