Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.0%
Ascoli
32.5%
Draw
41.6%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Ascoli
vs
1.18
Parma
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).