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15 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.3%
Gillingham
21.7%
Draw
59.0%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Gillingham

vs
1.84

Stockport

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.0%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).