Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Tranmere
21.2%
Draw
52.7%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Tranmere
vs
1.95
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
4.7%
2-3
4.1%
0-0
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).