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25 Feb 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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87.1%
Trabzonspor
8.9%
Draw
4.0%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

4.01

Trabzonspor

vs
1.00

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS62.7%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.596.7%
Over 2.587.6%
Over 3.573.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-0
7.2%
4-1
7.2%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
5-0
5.8%
5-1
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
4-2
3.6%
3-2
3.6%
1-1
3.3%
5-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).