Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Stoke
33.1%
Draw
24.0%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Stoke
vs
0.78
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.7%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).