Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.5%
St. Gilloise
11.1%
Draw
2.4%
Seraing
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
St. Gilloise
vs
0.30
Seraing
Markets
BTTS23.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.6%
3-0
16.2%
1-0
14.0%
4-0
10.6%
0-0
5.7%
5-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
1-1
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
0-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).