Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Millwall
29.7%
Draw
24.8%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Millwall
vs
0.94
Swansea
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).